President Obama's match-up vs. Romney and Gingrich
At The Hedgehog Report, a site dedicated to political polls, David Wissing took a shot at what a general election match-up would look like between Romney and Obama, and then between Gingrich and Obama.
Based on the most recent state-by-state polling data, Electoral College tallies look like this (it takes 270 to win):
Romney – 256
Obama – 256
Tie – 26
Obama – 256
Tie – 26
Obama – 451
Gingrich – 76
Tie – 11
Gingrich – 76
Tie – 11
As the website Race for 2012 warns:
Of course, the usual caveats apply: most of these polls are from PPP, since they are the only outfit polling a lot of these states, and so the results should be taken with a grain of salt. Also, some of the polls are older (Obama v Gingrich in Colorado hasn't been polled since February, for instance).
Still, it does give us a sense of how difficult it will be for the GOP if Gingrich somehow prevails.
(Cross-posted at Lippmann's Ghost.)
Labels: 2012 election, 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, polls, Republicans
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