Thursday, October 12, 2006

Landslide?

By Michael J.W. Stickings

Chris Bowers of MyDD is reporting on new polls that show Democrats headed for "a looming landslide" victory in November. Indeed, according to this polling, Democrats are "currently ahead in the House by 19 seats, 224-205". And they are doing quite well in key GOP-held districts throughout the country.

Unfortunately, Speaker Dennis Hastert is solidly ahead of his Democratic challenger in IL-14, John Laesch, but one of our favourites, Joe Sestak, is up by eight points over incumbent Republican Curt Weldon in PA-07.

This is getting awfully exciting.

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See also the latest installment of Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: "For the first time this year, your cautious Crystal Ball now projects a Democratic majority of somewhere between 221 and 225 seats (with 218 needed for control)."

The Senate is also within reach, but consider this: "The Crystal Ball believes that when the votes are counted, Democrats will have between 26 and 28 Governors, up from the current 22--and they are likely gaining seats in the vital states of Ohio and New York."

But I'll try to keep my burgeoning excitement under control.

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3 Comments:

  • Interesting....

    By Blogger iwiwag, at 10:05 PM  

  • The latest issue of PS includes 2 articles by scholars using different models -- each predicting that the Dems will gain 22 seats in the House next month.

    By Blogger Rodger A. Payne, at 12:24 AM  

  • Thanks, Rodger. I'll take a look. I hope they're right.

    And it's nice to see you here, Rodger Payne of eponymous blog and Duck of Minerva fame -- both highly recommended (see the blogroll).

    By Blogger Michael J.W. Stickings, at 12:58 AM  

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