Wednesday, January 09, 2008

The voters spoke:

By Carol Gee

. . . not the mainstream media, not political campaign managers, not even the presidential candidates themselves, except unconsciously. That is, as Politico.com's Jim VandeHei called is this morning on CNN, "the beauty of the process."

We all forget that it is VOTING process. . . not an opinion polling process, not a media process, not a leadership process. It was the followers that spoke in Iowa, Wyoming and now New Hampshire.

Democratic, Republican and independent voters spoke in the only way that counted. And it was anxiety-producing to watch the vote count. It did not take very long for Senator John McCain to emerge as the Republican primary winner, characterizing the state's voters as ". . . New Hampshire, where they don't let others make their decision for them.

It took a long time for the media to project who would win the Democratic primary. It was the AP who first projected Clinton's eventual win. Not long afterwards Senator Obama graciously conceded to Senator Clinton and then gave another of his wonderful trademark speeches that was just what his supporters needed to stay energized: " Nothing can stand in the way of the voices of millions calling for change."

And then Senator Clinton, the projected winner, gave her own speech, in her own voice, saying, "Last week I listened to you and in the process I found my own voice." Visually, it spoke volumes. It was just her and her younger supporters on the stage. Her speech was inclusive, much more like Obama's now, and less "I" oriented. What we know from the outcome/results part of the N.H. primary process is that each of the leading candidates has the ability to listen as well as speak.

One other person spoke last night, finally. For just a minute I switched from CNN, where I had been watching all evening, to MSNBC. My timing was perfect because I heard Chris Matthews speaking, head a bit lowered, saying,"I will never underestimate Hillary Clinton again." I hope he, and all the others who operated on their own agendas and assumptions, will remember that it is we the voters who will speak.

John Edwards made the best argument last night in favor of honoring the primary process, talking about "the ninety-nine percent of Americans who have not yet had their voices heard." All of us who have not yet gotten our turn to speak, will now get our chances, state by state, voting booth by voting booth. In quick order will come the Democratic primaries and caucuses in Michigan (1/15/08), Nevada (1/19/08), South Carolina (1/26/08), Florida (1/29/08). The consequences of holding primaries early -- in Michigan and Florida -- will be serious, because they are breaking party rules. Michigan will lose 128 pledged delegates and Florida 185 pledged delegates.

Then comes what used to be called the "Super Tuesday" (2/05/08) primaries and caucuses in Alabama, Alaska, American Samoa, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Utah. And my own Texas votes on March 4, 2008.

(Cross-posted at South by Southwest.)

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Tuesday, January 08, 2008

New Hampshire talking

By Creature

The early story out of NH: the turnout. People are jamming the polls, ballots are running low, excitement is in the air.

Shakes: "Despite the myriad things to bitch about during this particular Silly Season, the number of people getting involved and showing some basic freaking concern about their country is not one of them."

I agree, who knew the American Idol generation could vote on anything other than a phone. Here's hoping Obama is more Kelly Clarkson than Talyor Hicks.

Stay tuned.

Update: I'm just catching up on Bill's attack of Obama today. Pretty brutal stuff. Stuff that perhaps should not be coming out of an ex-president's mouth.

Yglesias: "As Hillary's husband, you expect Bill to vigorously support her campaign. But as a former president and high-profile Democratic Party leader, you also expect Bill to not actually get down and dirty attacking other Democrats as unfit for office."

Obama may have changed the game, but Bill Clinton is breaking the rules.

Update II [8:00 PM]: Very early numbers, but the race on the Dem side is too close to call. Hill and Bill must be pleased.

Update III [8:30 PM]: It's over quick on the GOP side and the maverick reigns supreme. Go war!

Update IV: Mitt's on the TV talking about silver medals again and, you know what, he's doing OK [never mind, he's going on way too long]. He's now the optimistic, change candidate. Until, of course, it's time for another round of ads.

Update V: We get it, McCain, you tell the truth. The Mrs. just wants to know why the crowd keeps chanting Hacky Sack.

Update VI [9:31 PM]: No matter what happens tonight this is a big victory for Hillary. She was dead and buried this morning and now it's a race again (which is a good thing). I just don't know if I can stomach the whole comeback kid thing all over again.

Update VII: OK, maybe I follow this stuff too closely, but, Edwards, dude, seriously, I think you're great, but enough with the liver girl. It's getting ghoulish.

Update VII 10:33 PM]: Hillary did it. Wow. We are one step closer to a ceiling breaker.

Update IV: Hillary on the TV. She's learned an Obama lesson and put a whole bunch of kids behind her. No Albrights in sight. And suddenly she's a hopeful populist too. She is a quick learner.

I'm done and left a bit uninspired. Toto, we're not in Iowa anymore.

(Cross-posted at State of the Day.)

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iBama

By Creature

LAT: A balmy N.H. gives primary a boost

Mother nature's an Obama fanboy too. Yeesh.

(Cross-posted at State of the Day.)

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Live blogging the first vote of the first primary

By Creature

12:08 AM - Dixville Notch results [via CNN - 17 voters]:

4 McCain
2 Mitt Romney
1 Giuliani
0 Huckabee

7 Obama
2 Edwards
1 Richardson
0 Clinton

Obama is unstoppable. The maverick is back. Hillary is finished. And turnout was down considerably from '04. Now extrapolate [I'm going to bed].

(Cross-posted at State of the Day.)

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