Polls, projections, and probabilities
By Michael J.W. Stickings
If you're really into the polls, a couple of things to read today:
-- Nate Silver: Obama's "firewall" is holding.
-- Mark Blumenthal: But what if the polls are wrong?
Well, anything can happen, of course, but it's nice to see the president up over 300 Electoral College votes and with a chance of winning over 80 in Silver's forecast (303.4 and 80.9, respectively).
With the trend in Obama's favor abundantly clear.
If you're really into the polls, a couple of things to read today:
-- Nate Silver: Obama's "firewall" is holding.
-- Mark Blumenthal: But what if the polls are wrong?
Well, anything can happen, of course, but it's nice to see the president up over 300 Electoral College votes and with a chance of winning over 80 in Silver's forecast (303.4 and 80.9, respectively).
With the trend in Obama's favor abundantly clear.
Labels: 2012 election, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Nate Silver, polling, polls
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