More like a thud
Most candidates get some kind of bounce up in the polls after a
convention no matter what the eventual outcome is. Walter Mondale did
in 1984 and so did George McGovern in 1972 and both of them got walloped
in the election the following November. So a bounce is, in the words
of the brokerage house disclaimer, not a predictor of future earnings.
Still, it must be disheartening to the Republicans when, after their big blow-out in Tampa, they see that Gallup shows that Mitt Romney got bupkus:
Still, it must be disheartening to the Republicans when, after their big blow-out in Tampa, they see that Gallup shows that Mitt Romney got bupkus:
Last week's Republican National Convention had a minimal impact on Americans' self-reported voting intentions, with just about as many saying the convention made them less likely to vote for Mitt Romney as say it made them more likely to vote for him.
One theory for
this lackluster response that I see rattling through the tubes is that
thanks to Twitter, Facebook, texting, blogging, and the constant feed
from the cable channels and YouTube, all of the anticipation and
surprise has been taken out of the conventions. Voters who are paying
attention have already made up their collective mind about the
candidates. Nothing they hear coming out of Tampa or Charlotte is going
to move the needle.
That puts the pressure on the Democrats to really come up with something that they think will move the electorate, and I'm sure they're going to try.
That puts the pressure on the Democrats to really come up with something that they think will move the electorate, and I'm sure they're going to try.
Labels: 1972 election, 1984 election, 2012 Democratic National Convention, 2012 Republican National Convention, George McGovern, Mitt Romney, polls, Walter Mondale
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home