Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Mass. delusions

By Carl

Coakley 51%-49.5%

The predictions of a major defeat are sorely overrated. Turnout will be above 2.3 million, and Coakley will eke out a victory. Only Politico, which has a very deep right-wing agenda underneath the facade of "calling 'em as it sees 'em" calls this race for Brown by anything more than the MOE.

Fivethirtyeight.com calls it for Brown by three-to-one. I like Nate Silver, but he's being way too cautious here, by his own inferred admission.

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2 Comments:

  • That adds up to 100.5%

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 7:49 PM  

  • Rounding up.

    And wrong, as it turns out.

    By Blogger Carl, at 9:50 AM  

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