Mass. delusions
By Carl
Coakley 51%-49.5%
The predictions of a major defeat are sorely overrated. Turnout will be above 2.3 million, and Coakley will eke out a victory. Only Politico, which has a very deep right-wing agenda underneath the facade of "calling 'em as it sees 'em" calls this race for Brown by anything more than the MOE.
Fivethirtyeight.com calls it for Brown by three-to-one. I like Nate Silver, but he's being way too cautious here, by his own inferred admission.
Coakley 51%-49.5%
The predictions of a major defeat are sorely overrated. Turnout will be above 2.3 million, and Coakley will eke out a victory. Only Politico, which has a very deep right-wing agenda underneath the facade of "calling 'em as it sees 'em" calls this race for Brown by anything more than the MOE.
Fivethirtyeight.com calls it for Brown by three-to-one. I like Nate Silver, but he's being way too cautious here, by his own inferred admission.
Labels: Martha Coakley, Massachusetts, Scott Brown
2 Comments:
That adds up to 100.5%
By Anonymous, at 7:49 PM
Rounding up.
And wrong, as it turns out.
By Carl, at 9:50 AM
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