Predicting the Virginia Senate race
By Vivek Krishnamurthy
Some very crude calculations I've done using the raw county-by-county data from Virginia suggests that Webb will squeak by Allen with a 1450 vote majority. My Virginia election predictor basically takes counties where all precincts have not reported and extrapolates likely county results based on reported results. Using this admittedly crude methodology, here are the predicted results of the Virginia Senate race:
Webb (D): 1,226,728
Allen (R): 1,225,282
Parker (I): 27,495
Write-Ins: 2467
Projections are based on data from the Virginia real-time elections site at http://sbe.virginiainteractive.org/nov2006/l_02.htm.
You can download my Excel worksheet at http://individual.utoronto.ca/vivek/virginia.xls.
Some very crude calculations I've done using the raw county-by-county data from Virginia suggests that Webb will squeak by Allen with a 1450 vote majority. My Virginia election predictor basically takes counties where all precincts have not reported and extrapolates likely county results based on reported results. Using this admittedly crude methodology, here are the predicted results of the Virginia Senate race:
Webb (D): 1,226,728
Allen (R): 1,225,282
Parker (I): 27,495
Write-Ins: 2467
Projections are based on data from the Virginia real-time elections site at http://sbe.virginiainteractive.org/nov2006/l_02.htm.
You can download my Excel worksheet at http://individual.utoronto.ca/vivek/virginia.xls.
posted by Vivek Krishnamurthy at
6:54 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home