Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Hurricanes and the peril of global warming

According to CNN, leading experts have concluded that "[t]he record Atlantic hurricane season last year can be attributed to global warming". That included Hurricane Katrina (see left). Others disagree, some "[attributing] the warming to natural cycles".

Regardless: "Whatever the cause, computer projections indicate the warming to date -- about one degree Fahrenheit (half a degree Celsius) in tropical water -- is 'the tip of the iceberg' and the water will warm three to four times as much in the next century," according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory.

In my view, given the inconclusive evidence and the disagreement among experts, shouldn't we err on the side of caution and take global warming seriously? It may not be the only cause of more and stronger hurricanes, but it's likely a cause. At the very least, how can it be ruled out as a cause? Besides, there are other consequences to global warming besides more and stronger hurricanes. Clearly, we ignore this problem at our own peril.

For more on global warming, see here and here. For more on the relationship between global warming and hurricanes, see here.

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1 Comments:

  • I remember a demonstration in my freshman chemistry class at MIT. The Professor came in with two beakers of liquid, one clear and one (I believe) red. Wordlessly he took a dropper and began adding the colored liquid into the clear liquid, drop-by-drop, with periodic pauses to refill the dropper. The clear liquid remained clear, the color briefly appearing and then disappearing, as it was absorbed. Another drop, another, and the beaker erupted throwing foam snakes all over the students in the front rows.

    A memorable demonstration of equilibrium and a nightmare when applied to our experiment with the atmosphere.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:40 AM  

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