Wednesday, June 01, 2005

The Red and the Blue, once again


Look familiar? Posted by Hello

The map is from Le Monde, via Julie Saltman and Power Line. As with the U.S. presidential map, it doesn't tell the whole story, but it's rather impressive nonetheless. Parts of Paris voted "Yes," as did Brittany (a somewhat un-French part of France), but the rest of the country went "No".

My take on the referendum: click here.

Part of the problem, I think, is that no one really understand the proposed European Constitution. That is, no one has taken the time to understand it. (Even to read it, for that matter.) Aside, of course, from the technocrats who run Europe. Much thanks, then, to Julie Saltman, for taking the time to examine it a bit more thoroughly than the rest of us. Check out her posts here and here (with perhaps more to come).

This story won't stay in the North American press for long -- what with Deep Throat and all -- but it's worth following. There's been some talk -- misguided, I might add -- to the effect that the French vote has irreparably harmed the cause of European integration. I'd call it a speed bump at most. The Constitution has already been ratified by nine other countries, and though it may fail in Wednesday's referendum in the Netherlands, there's no reason to think that the rest of Europe, aside from the United Kingdom, won't do so eventually. If anything, the pro-Europeans will be forced to think through both the means to integration and the structure of a socially and politically unified Europe (with or without the U.K.). In France, what matters is that the elite, which runs the country, is ardently pro-European, and they're not about to back down just because the extremes of the left and right managed to build on Chirac's unpopularity to defeat the Constitution.

Lest you have any doubt, pay attention to what Chirac said just two days after the referendum, in a televised speech Tuesday evening: The referendum "opened up a period of difficulty and uncertainty". However, the result was not "a rejection of the European ideal" but rather a "demand" for "action and results" -- and for the government to "listen". Later, he referred to "a grand European ambition" which is clearly connected to France's national interests.

The U.K. notwithstanding (and I place myself among the moderate English Euro-skeptics), the European elites have already bound themselves to the European ideal. That isn't going to change. Europe as some sort of constitutionalized social and political union is going to happen, like it or not, but perhaps the French vote (and the upcoming Dutch vote) will at least provide the needed impetus to correct some of its many flaws before it gets going.

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2 Comments:

  • It seems to me that Europe has some serious issues it has to address before it can really set about the business of integration. It's pretty clear that, at least in some countries, the EU agenda has been driven largely by European elites with little concern given to the populace as a whole. Whatever you want to say about American politics, I don't think you could possibly see a project like this occurring here with so little imput from the citizenry.

    Moreover, with all the talk about Europe's "social model", it seems to be facing increasing stress from the combination of globalization and immigration. European elites seem to have paid little or no attention to the problems of integration--not just economically, but in terms of people (ie, Muslims). The result seems to be a Europe with a significant "democracy deficit" and some serious social problems that no one really seems to know how to resolve. (Not that we are doing so well in dealing with our social problems either.)

    I'm certainly no expert on European politics, Michael, and I'm sure you have a better take on it. I agree that, one way or another, some degree of European integration will continue. But it seems to me that "Europe" as a project is in serious trouble and, perhaps it should be. My impression is that the project is being increasingly driven by the elites' goal to make Europe the the anti-United States rather than by any clear logic or desire by the populations to become a single entity. It doesn't seem to me that Europeans see the benefits of integration to the same extent that the elites do.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 10:55 AM  

  • I would say that Europe as a social and political union is in serious trouble, at least for now, at least as the pro-Constitutionalists envision it. But Europe isn't going away, and it will continue as is even without the Constitution.

    As I've written, I'm not anti-European, and I do hope Europe gets its act together. I agree with Marc #1 that it needs to address some serious problems -- including immigration and collapsing social programs, not to mention the fact that the European Union itself is profoundly undemocratic.

    Let's face it, Europe is a concept. It's sole reality is geography and, to an extent, a shared history (but what a dark history it's been). The elites, in my view, have been trying to forge a new Europe (yes, a Fortress Europe to counter the U.S. and East Asia) without a solid foundation. The 13 colonies certainly had more in common with one another than the distinct cultures of the E.U.

    Okay, maybe this is it. You have the technocracy, which believes in Europe and is trying to build a supranational union. Then you have the national governments, which concern themselves primarily with national self-interest and only incidentally with the E.U. (sometimes national self-interest coincides with the good of the E.U., sometimes it doesn't). And the people? Well, some Europeans truly feel European, but many others don't, and it's obvious that there's a good deal of popular ambiguity.

    Marc #2 makes an interesting point. Where would the world be without elites? And, I admit, I'm certainly no populist. The problem is that we don't live in 1776 or 1787, and the people do need to be included in decision-making of this kind.

    By Blogger Michael J.W. Stickings, at 9:31 PM  

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