Friday, November 02, 2012

Polls, projections, and probabilities

By Michael J.W. Stickings

If you're really into the polls, a couple of things to read today:

-- Nate Silver: Obama's "firewall" is holding.

-- Mark Blumenthal: But what if the polls are wrong?

Well, anything can happen, of course, but it's nice to see the president up over 300 Electoral College votes and with a chance of winning over 80 in Silver's forecast (303.4 and 80.9, respectively).

With the trend in Obama's favor abundantly clear.

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